La Cieca has been sniffing around her generally reliable (and fragrant) sources, and she thinks she has pieced together a list of the dozen operas to be featured in the 2013-2014 season of “The Met: Live in HD.” Details are, naturally, after the jump.

The process of ratiocination leads to the following conclusions:

Naturally, pride of place will go to the season’s new productions, of which five out of seven will be represented.

1. Eugene Onegin (Netrebko, Semenchuk, Beczala, Kwiecien, Furlanetto; Conductor: Valery Gergiev; Director: Deborah Warner)

2. Falstaff (Meade, Oropesa, Blythe, Vassallo, Maestri; Conductor TBA; Director: Jack O’Brien)

3. Die Fledermaus (Phillips, Schaefer, Szot, Costanzo, Fabiano; Conductor: Adam Fischer; Director: John Hall)

4. Prince Igor (Abdrazakov, Dyka, Semenchuk, Kocan, Ognovenko; Conductor: Valery Gergiev; Director: Dmitri Tcherniakov)

5. Werther (Garanca, Oropesa, Kaufmann, David Bizic; Conductor: Alain Altinoglu; Director: Richard Eyre)

Note that there are, or rather were, two more new productions planned for next season.  Nico Muhly‘s Two Boys is not scheduled for a telecast.  A projected new staging of I puritani will almost certainly not happen, with Natalie Dessay presumably relieved of all further bel canto duties, and the men in the cast—Lawrence Brownlee, Mariusz Kwiecien and Michele Pertusi—rolled over into other projects in spring 2014.

Four returning productions are said to be locked in for HDs:

6.  The Nose (Szot, Ognovenko)

7.  La Cenerentola (DiDonato, Florez)

8.  Tosca (Radvanovksy, Alagna)

9.  La boheme (Grigolo or Calleja)

Despite the fact that there are three Strauss operas on the roster for next season (Arabella, Der Rosenkavalier, Die Frau Ohne Schatten), none will be presented on HD. Neither will be A Midsummer Night’s Dream, even though 2013 is the Britten centennial.

Now, the next two require a bit more guesswork, but here’s where La Cieca will go out on a limb:

10. Rusalka (Fleming, Magee, Zajick, Beczala)

11. Andrea Chenier (Racette, Alvarez)

That leaves one slot to be filled, and the candidates are Norma (Radvanovsky, Aldrich, Antonenko), Cosi fan tutte (Phillips, Leonard, de Niese, Polenzani) and… now here’s a wildcard indeed! A projected return of Parsifal has apparently been canceled in favor of a revival of Wozzeck. The Berg is rumored to feature a very fancy cast indeed, including Karita Mattila, Thomas Hampson and Simon O’Neill, and there are even whispers of a comeback to the Met podium by James Levine!

So, if most or all of the rumors about this Wozzeck are true (and that is a huge “if”), then it’s definitely number 12 of the HDs. Should all those fabulous elements not come together, then I would lean toward Cosi as a stopgap, if only because the company’s current Norma production is so utterly risible dramatically. And so:

12. Wozzeck (or Cosi)

Eh bien, cher public: your thoughts?